USC
W-L: (18-14) PR = 96.8463Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A NM St CUSA ( 7-21, 92.7) 87-48 1109 A NC State ACC (21-11, 96.6) 69-68 1115 H So Carolina SEC (35- 4, 99.2) 52-69 1118 A Portland WC (18-15, 94.5) 78-51 1121 H Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 59-61 1125 A Tenn Tech OV T (14-12, 93.6) 85-44 1128 A Pepperdine WC (19-13, 94.5) 82-52 1202 A Saint Marys WC (13-17, 93.9) 79-33 1207 A Washington B10 (23-11, 97.0) 59-50 1213 H Connecticut BE (38- 1, 99.3) 51-79 1218 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 86-39 1221 A California ACC (22-14, 95.9) 61-57 1229 A Nebraska B10 (18-13, 96.3) 74-66 103 H UCLA B10 (38- 1, 99.9) 46-80 106 H Oregon B10 (24-12, 97.0) 66-71 111 H Minnesota B10 (24-10, 97.3) 62-63 115 H Maryland B10 (24- 9, 97.2) 55-62 118 A Purdue B10 (13-17, 95.6) 83-57 122 H Michigan St B10 (21- 9, 97.2) 68-74 125 H Michigan B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 67-73 129 A Iowa B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 81-69 201 A Rutgers B10 ( 9-20, 94.6) 71-39 205 A Northwestern B10 ( 8-21, 94.7) 83-65 208 A Illinois B10 (21-12, 96.7) 70-62 212 A Indiana B10 (18-15, 96.1) 79-73 219 A Wisconsin B10 (16-17, 95.6) 66-59 222 H Ohio St B10 (27- 9, 97.9) 83-88 225 H Penn St B10 (11-19, 95.5) 82-85 301 H UCLA B10 (38- 1, 99.9) 50-73 305 H Washington B10 (23-11, 97.0) 64-76 321 A Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 71-67 323 H So Carolina SEC (35- 4, 99.2) 61-**
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A NM St 87-48 39 4 0.00
1109 A NC State 69-68 1 0 0.79
1115 H So Carolina 52-69 -17 -2 0.00
1118 A Portland 78-51 27 2 0.00
1121 H Notre Dame 59-61 -2 0 -1.75
1125 A Tenn Tech 85-44 41 3 0.00
1128 A Pepperdine 82-52 30 2 0.00
1202 A Saint Marys 79-33 46 3 0.00
1207 A Washington 59-50 9 0 + 2.15
1213 H Connecticut 51-79 -28 -2 0.00
1218 A Cal Poly 86-39 47 6 0.00
1221 A California 61-57 4 1 1.08
1229 A Nebraska 74-66 8 0 1.51
103 H UCLA 46-80 -34 -3 0.00
106 H Oregon 66-71 -5 0 -1.83
111 H Minnesota 62-63 -1 0 -0.60
115 H Maryland 55-62 -7 0 -1.64
118 A Purdue 83-57 26 1 0.72
122 H Michigan St 68-74 -6 0 -1.66
125 H Michigan 67-73 -6 -1 -0.81
129 A Iowa 81-69 12 -1 + 3.13
201 A Rutgers 71-39 32 2 0.00
205 A Northwestern 83-65 18 2 0.00
208 A Illinois 70-62 8 0 1.87
212 A Indiana 79-73 6 1 1.25
219 A Wisconsin 66-59 7 1 0.74
222 H Ohio St 83-88 -5 -1 -0.93
225 H Penn St 82-85 -3 1 - -3.38
301 H UCLA 50-73 -23 -3 0.00
305 H Washington 64-76 -12 0 -1.87
321 A Clemson 71-67 4 1 1.24
323 H So Carolina 61-** -40 -2 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 H Penn St 82-85 -3 1 - -3.38 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1207 A Washington 59-50 9 0 + 2.15 129 A Iowa 81-69 12 -1 + 3.13 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A NM St ( 7-21, 92.7) 87-48 -7.19 3.77 0.01 0.95 7.17
3 A NC State (21-11, 96.6) 69-68 -3.27 7.69 0.01 0.95 14.60
3 H So Carolina (35- 4, 99.2) 52-69 -0.74 10.22 -0.01 0.95 -0.36
3 A Portland (18-15, 94.5) 78-51 -5.37 5.59 0.01 0.95 10.62
3 H Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 59-61 -2.80 8.16 -0.01 0.95 -1.33
3 A Tenn Tech (14-12, 93.6) 85-44 -6.33 4.63 0.01 0.95 8.81
3 A Pepperdine (19-13, 94.5) 82-52 -5.40 5.56 0.01 0.95 10.56
3 A Saint Marys (13-17, 93.9) 79-33 -6.03 4.93 0.01 0.95 9.37
3 A Washington (23-11, 97.0) 59-50 -2.91 8.05 0.01 0.95 15.28
3 H Connecticut (38- 1, 99.3) 51-79 -0.55 10.41 -0.01 0.95 -0.27
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 86-39 -8.78 2.18 0.01 0.95 4.15
3 A California (22-14, 95.9) 61-57 -3.99 6.97 0.01 0.95 13.24
3 A Nebraska (18-13, 96.3) 74-66 -3.55 7.41 0.01 0.95 14.07
3 H UCLA (38- 1, 99.9) 46-80 -0.00 10.96 -0.01 0.95 -0.00
3 H Oregon (24-12, 97.0) 66-71 -2.88 8.08 -0.01 0.95 -1.37
3 H Minnesota (24-10, 97.3) 62-63 -2.64 8.32 -0.01 0.95 -1.26
3 H Maryland (24- 9, 97.2) 55-62 -2.68 8.28 -0.01 0.95 -1.28
3 A Purdue (13-17, 95.6) 83-57 -4.34 6.62 0.01 0.95 12.57
3 H Michigan St (21- 9, 97.2) 68-74 -2.71 8.25 -0.01 0.95 -1.29
3 H Michigan (27- 7, 98.0) 67-73 -1.86 9.10 -0.01 0.95 -0.89
3 A Iowa (27- 7, 98.0) 81-69 -1.94 9.03 0.01 0.95 17.14
3 A Rutgers ( 9-20, 94.6) 71-39 -5.35 5.61 0.01 0.95 10.67
3 A Northwestern ( 8-21, 94.7) 83-65 -5.16 5.80 0.01 0.95 11.01
3 A Illinois (21-12, 96.7) 70-62 -3.20 7.76 0.01 0.95 14.75
3 A Indiana (18-15, 96.1) 79-73 -3.81 7.15 0.01 0.95 13.57
3 A Wisconsin (16-17, 95.6) 66-59 -4.32 6.64 0.01 0.95 12.62
3 H Ohio St (27- 9, 97.9) 83-88 -1.98 8.98 -0.01 0.95 -0.94
3 H Penn St (11-19, 95.5) 82-85 -4.43 6.53 -0.01 0.95 -2.10
3 H UCLA (38- 1, 99.9) 50-73 -0.00 10.96 -0.01 0.95 -0.00
3 H Washington (23-11, 97.0) 64-76 -2.91 8.05 -0.01 0.95 -1.39
3 A Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 71-67 -3.82 7.14 0.01 0.95 13.56
3 H So Carolina (35- 4, 99.2) 61-** -0.74 10.22 -0.01 0.95 -0.36
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200.93
|
winning pts = 213.7579 losing points = -12.8256
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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